What the Nix Signing Means

UPDATE: the deal is 2 years, $2.5 Mil according to multiple sources

According to Jim Salisbury of CSN Phillly, the Phils have signed outfielder Laynce Nix to a 2 year contract, pending a physical. The outfielder, 31, hit .250 in 2011 with the Washington Nationals. His signing isn’t huge news, but it does mean someting to the

Nix crashes into former Phillie David Dellucci

Phillies.

In short, it means that the Phillies will most likely not go after Raul Ibanez, or any other left fielder. Nix is about the same as Ibanez when it comes to hitting against right-handed pitchers, with better contact but worse power numbers than Raul. Nix hit .263 with 43 RBI and 16 homeruns against RHP, while Raul hit .256 with 60 RBI and 16 homeruns. The only role left for Ibanez since Mayberry took over as the everyday is to come in and hit against righties, and if Nix can perform at the same level, Raul is unnecessary. (it is also worth noting that their RBI totals, when adjusted for number of games played, are almost identical, and Nix’s adjusted homerun total higher than Raul’s).

Fielding wise, they are also about even. Raul had (technically) only one error last year, Laynce had two. Nix had seven outfield assists, Ibanez had five. Now, one can dig further into the fielding SABRmetrically, but for a fourth-outfielder I really don’t find it appropriate. If you’re looking for a more SABR-oriented blog, I suggest you check outCrashburnAlley.com.  The one SABR stat I think works here is the WAR (wins above replacement): Ibanez’s 2011 WAR was -0.4, Nix’s was +0.8. That’s a big positive for the new sign.

Perhaps the biggest factor in Nix over Ibanez, though, is the cost. Ibanez made $12 million last year, and while of course he would get nearly as much, the payday would be more than Nix’s 2011 sum of $700,000. If Laynce’s salary is close to this, let’s say an even $1 million, leaving the Phillies about $20 million under luxury tax. With that kind of money they could easily resign Rollins and go get a reasonably priced third baseman/ reliever.

There were much better options out in free agency than Laynce Nix, like Johnny Damon, Jason Kubel or Kosuke Fukudome, but his price relative to Ibanez similarity (now THAT should be a SABR stat) was good enough to settle on.

Phillies Take Game One of NLDS Off of Sixth Inning Home Runs

Nearly a year after the one-year anniversary of Roy Halladay’s National League Divisional Series Game One no-hitter against the Cincinnati Reds, the reigning Cy Young took the mound again for a similar NLDS game one, once again facing an NL Central team.  This time, however, the Phillies’ ace would be facing the St. Louis Cardinals, the NL’s wild card team after an insane final day of the regular season.  While Halladay did not exactly match his historic post-season start from last year, he did quite well, setting down the last 21 batters batters he faced en route to a 9-3 game one win. Continue reading

Phillies Clinch Fifth Straight NL East Title With the Help of a Raul Ibanez Grand Slam

Winning a division in Major League Baseball is not an easy feat.  Repeating as a division champion is even tougher, fending off teams that are hungry to get back to the post-season.  Threepeat?  With injuries, transactions and retirement, it’s nearly impossible.  Four championships?  Stop kidding yourself.  But to win five straight division championships is an absolutely insane thought, and something that’s even harder to put into effect.  It would take a core of incredible, young players, a bold general manager willing to improve the team, and an incredible pitching staff.  Luckily, the Phillies had all of those ingredients, and tonight they beat the Cardinals, clinching their fifth straight NL East title, just the first step in their quest for a world championship. Continue reading

Phillies Take Comfortable Division Lead into Milwaukee to Face the Brewers

By: Greg Frank

Overview:

The Phillies extended their lead to 10.5 games on the Atlanta Braves in the National League Eastern division with a three-game sweep to start the week.  Perhaps coming into the series with Atlanta, the Braves were viewed as the biggest threat to knock off the Phillies come October.  However with the recent sweep of the braves, the team that probably is number two in the National League looks to be the Milwaukee Brewers, who the Phillies play today through Sunday.  Milwaukee boasts a 50-19 home record at Miller Park and that is where the two teams will do battle the next four nights. Continue reading

Phillies Pound the Reds With Home Runs, Give Halladay Win Number Sixteen

When Roy Halladay takes the mound, there is some magical feeling in the air, the feeling that no matter how bad the rest of the Phillies play, Halladay will find a way to get a win.  Even if it seems like the Phillies couldn’t hit off of a little league pitcher, Halladay, being the fierce competitor he is, would find a way to make the opposition look like little leaguers.  However, Halladay had not been so dominant lately, allowing opposing batters to have a batting average of .302 in August, and also having an ERA of 3.29 this month, which for most pitchers is still superb, but for Halladay it is below average.  Tonight though, below average is on of the last words that would be used to describe Halladay, as he tore through the Reds’ lineup, and even contributing at the plate. Continue reading